It seems one threat has been averted, but another one looms in the distance.
Hurricane Norman has moved north as predicted, and just within the last hour wind shear has been tearing into it.
Norman is expected to be downgraded to a tropical storm Friday as it moves away from the islands.
It is still expected to bring hot, sticky weather to the islands, along with increased windward showers.
Still moving toward us is Hurricane Olivia. While it’s still far to the east, the current track doesn’t look good.
Olivia grew to a Category 4 hurricane with winds at 130 mph and is expected to cross into the Central Pacific on Saturday.
The National Hurricane Center says that “Olivia’s satellite presentation is an outstanding example of an annular hurricane with the shape of a truck tire.” The hurricane has a distinct clear eye surrounded by a ring of very deep convection.
Some intensity fluctuations are possible, but the latest forecast models put Olivia as a Category 1 hurricane just east of the islands on Monday. It was previously expected to a tropical storm.
It is expected to be nearest, dangerously close to, or perhaps even over the islands Tuesday through Thursday.
Keep in mind, changes will occur in forecast track and intensity as the storm gets closer.
Norman is moving toward the northwest near 9 mph (15 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue for the next few days.
On the forecast track, the center of Norman is expected to pass 200 to 300 miles to the northeast of the main Hawaiian Islands over the next couple of days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph (155 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening is forecast during the next few days.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km).
NOTE: Olivia is being tracked by the National Hurricane Center so times are in Pacific Daylight Time (PDT).
Olivia is moving toward the west-northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue through Saturday. A gradual turn toward the west is expected Saturday night or Sunday.
Satellite data indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 130 mph (215 km/h) with higher gusts. Olivia is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.
Some fluctuations in intensity are likely during the next 12 to 24 hours, but gradual weakening should begin thereafter.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km).